Grassroots

July manufacturing core capital goods order add to evidence of manufacturing rebound; while transportation (for June) flags

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 – by New Deal democrat Yesterday our month started out with reports that manufacturing in August was less positive than in the several months prior, while construction (ex-AI data centers) was absolutely recessionary. This morning was followed up by the final July report on manufacturers’ durable goods orders, a short leading indicator.  While total durable goods […]

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Congress is Allowing Tr__p to Take Over the USPS

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Silence of the lambs . . .I am beginning to believe the present Congress shows the same attributes as silent lambs waiting to be slaughtered, too scared to push back against Tr__mp, or run away. Congress is not challenging the President the same as they might challenge a Democrat or Republican. Is Congress really satisfied […]

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ACA Marketplace Insurers Largely Propose Double-Digit Premium Increase for 2027

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None of the following should come as a surprise. Politicians consisting most of Republicans have been clamoring for the reduction or elimination of the ACA. If you have forgotten, the ACA came into being during the Obama presidency in 2009. During a tense period in the Senate, the Bill passed with 60 Democrats voting Yea […]

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“Congress is in charge of federal property and must authorize this change”

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A legal Opinion on the legality of Trump’s Actions . . . The Supreme Court took another major step toward letting Donald Trump be the king by essentially saying no one can sue to challenge his unconstitutionally demolishing the East Wing of the White House to build his huge ballroom. In coming to this conclusion, the court […]

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Hardening AI targets versus aligning AI agents

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I don’t write much about AI; it’s above my pay grade.  But last night I couldn’t sleep and I read this piece by Scott Alexander responding to this post by Nicholas Decker. To simplify greatly (read the originals – they’re both very interesting):  Decker argues that we cannot fix problems with AI in advance.  Instead, […]

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Quote of the day

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It really is very, very unwise indeed, in the practical ethics of international relations for democracies to make war unprompted—on preemptive grounds—when alternative strategies are available to them. Because that is corrosive, not only of the exemplary quality of democracies—without which they cannot lecture dictatorships—but is also internally corrosive of what democracies are supposed to […]

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July JOLTS accords with low-hire, low-fire economy; so does August ADP employment estimate

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 – by New Deal democrat One piece of data released yesterday that I didn’t report on was the JOLTS labor market report for July. This parses turnover in the market by hires, layoffs, and quits, among other things. It is a minor indicator, but let’s take a look. The first graph below shows the “soft […]

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Could The Washington Monument Be Next?

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J.P. McJefferson Thoughts The Supreme Court’s White House ballroom decision raises a question much larger than the ballroom: What happens when presidential action may be unlawful, but no one with an obvious right to challenge it can get into court to stop it? [National Park Service, et al. v. National Trust for Historic Preservation in the […]

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Hiding Healthcare Cuts Editorial

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Editorial in mid-August by the New York Times with the writer asking why Republicans se fit to strip much of the public who can not afford healthcare or insurance or access to the ACA healthcare plan. Much of the nation lack the income to pay for healthcare and were dependent on the ACA subsidies. In […]

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From the department of problems with personal responsibility:  those darn Iranian citizens

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Last night on Truth Social, our President: I’m not trying to force Iran to the bargaining table, as ABC Fake News reported. I couldn’t care less if they sign a worthless, to them, agreement. I like our position now much better, with almost total control of the Hormuz Strait, and their economy totally collapsing. They […]

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Vitamin K, a lifesaver for newborns, is being abandoned by parents

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My department is named for Edward A. Doisy, who shared the 1943 Nobel Prize in Physiology and Medicine for the discovery of vitamin K. He was the founding chair of my department, which was 100 years old in 2024. Naturally, I have more than average appreciation for this discovery and its medical impact. “The rate […]

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The post-pandemic affordability crisis and the election of 2024

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 – by New Deal democrat There are times when there is little new economic data of import, and not too much else to say. At other times, the import of particularly striking data on even long term historical trends could justify entire book chapters almost overnight. Right now is one of the latter. Bear with […]

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2027 Unsubsidized ACA Premium Increases

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So, what is going to happen in 2027 for unsubsidized ACA Healthcare Insurance premiums? Well, the states have filed for anything from a 6% increase to a 22% increase (weighted average). The premiums will be anywhere from $576/month to $1542/month. Charles has been analyzing the ACA for as long as I have known him in […]

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What is Driving US Debt . . .

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Robert Reich on US Debt: What’s REALLY driving up the U.S. debt, which just reached the $40 trillion milestone? I (Robert) appeared recently on CNBC to explain that. Contrary to the conventional rightwing view, it’s not due to government spending on social safety nets. It’s . . . “What’s Really Driving Up the Debt?” Robert Reich

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WWSD (What Would Stalin Do)?

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“President Donald Trump’s nominee to lead the Food and Drug Administration previously called on conservatives to create new academic journals and to fund science that would explicitly back right-wing policy goals. “Heidi Overton made the comments in a December 2023 appearance on The Tank, a podcast by the conservative think tank America First Policy Institute. […]

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Recent Information on Oil

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There is more current information at the site which can be read. I have used an earlier version of the report by Oil Price. The articles on the internet do not give much of an indication of the oil issues as caused by the United States (namely Tr__p) will be ending. As reported, pricing is […]

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Reliving the Sixties in 2026

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My memories and thouhts: I was just a soon-to-be teenager in the early sixties. In 1967, I graduated high school and went to work with my dad on the United of America building. I was laid off come November which was fine with me as I was freezing on the scaffolds 20 or so stories […]

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Food, Energy, and Medical Pricing Data: EOY June 2026

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This is meant to create a better understanding of what is going on in various areas. Year End June 2026, Consumer Pricing “Consumer prices up 3.5 percent over the year ended June 2026 : The Economics Daily:” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) decreased 0.4 percent on […]

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